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Applications are open for the Bridgewater × Global Citizen Forecasting the Future: A Modern Economics Challenge 2025. Click here to learn more about this opportunity and apply for it.
Opportunity Details
We are living through one of the most significant global shifts in modern history, where new geopolitical, technological, and economic forces are reshaping the world-transitioning away from decades of globalization to a new world order - what Bridgewater calls modern mercantilism.
Forecasting the Future: A Modern Economics Challenge-invites you to dive into the evolving global economy and predict how the next era of Modern Mercantilism will transform trade, policy, and power on the global stage.
Challenge Details
Bridgewater studies the cause-and-effect forces that shape economies and markets, turning that understanding into data-driven algorithms that adapt as the world changes. Their goal is to build a system that can both interpret the global economy and guide smart investment decisions-balancing big-picture trends like debt cycles with precise forecasts like interest rate movements.
Part 1: Your Forecasts
Goal
Create a minimum of 20 binary forecasts (yes/no outcomes) with assigned probabilities.
Length
Each forecast must be one sentence and have clear, objective resolution criteria. No page limit.
Timeframes
Cover short- and long-term timeframes (1 to 10 years).
Focus
Focus on well-calibrated predictions—your probabilities should match outcomes over time. All forecasts must clearly relate to Modern Mercantilism.
Part 2: Your Framework and Holistic Synthesis
Goal
Present your big-picture view of how Modern Mercantilism will shape the next decade.
Framework
Build a coherent framework that ties together your forecasts into a broader understanding.
Explain
Explain the key cause-and-effect dynamics you believe will drive global events.
Reference Forecasts
Reference a few of your most impactful forecasts from Part 1 to illustrate your thinking.
Focus
Focus on clarity and structure—this is about synthesis, not justifying each individual forecast.
Visual Support
You may include charts or data to support your framework.
Length
Maximum of 3 pages in length.
Part 3: Analytical Appendix
Goal
Back up your predictions with clear reasoning, relevant evidence, and thoughtful analysis.
How to use this section is up to you:
Use this space your way—whether it's to explain the reasoning behind your forecasts, share models that support your views, or dive deeper into the most important parts of your analysis.
Length
They recommend 10 pages or less (but they will never stop reading analysis if it’s great).
The top 5 winners will receive an employment or internship opportunity at Bridgewater (pending successful completion of its interview requirements) and will receive $25,000.
Submissions are due by August 1, 2025. All applicants will be notified of determination by early September 2025.
Apply for Bridgewater x Global Citizen Forecasting the Future Challenge